Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.984173 2.163756 2.355231 2.575081 2.821147 3.088766 3.402778
2026-01-18 1.741689 1.990879 2.272746 2.617129 3.029160 3.509588 4.116967
2026-01-25 1.567726 1.853928 2.191911 2.624421 3.168859 3.839098 4.738635
2026-02-01 1.409810 1.710916 2.078473 2.566152 3.205331 4.027579 5.187079
2026-02-08 1.293328 1.603979 1.993925 2.527552 3.251863 4.220404 5.648129
2026-02-15 1.205709 1.524095 1.933736 2.510025 3.317418 4.436112 6.154866
2026-02-22 1.158519 1.491643 1.930634 2.565181 3.482594 4.799977 6.911468
2026-03-01 1.093046 1.429046 1.880778 2.548851 3.540990 5.010340 7.454431
2026-03-08 1.028252 1.362518 1.819919 2.510275 3.560484 5.160016 7.913033
2026-03-15 0.955720 1.280552 1.731598 2.424032 3.498985 5.175683 8.147599
2026-03-22 0.919615 1.247706 1.710889 2.435866 3.587876 5.435120 8.824309
2026-03-29 0.894987 1.229584 1.709867 2.476471 3.723909 5.781927 9.696348
2026-04-05 0.868815 1.208392 1.703875 2.510273 3.854078 6.135926 10.639673
2026-04-12 0.842334 1.185210 1.693321 2.535738 3.972049 6.480213 11.614325
2026-04-19 0.812808 1.155705 1.671038 2.540011 4.053133 6.765103 12.510288
2026-04-26 0.771532 1.106115 1.614576 2.483587 4.022532 6.839427 12.976830
2026-05-03 0.737717 1.066390 1.571460 2.446444 4.022659 6.970346 13.581340
2026-05-10 0.710694 1.035974 1.541530 2.429600 4.057815 7.171427 14.370321
2026-05-17 0.699947 1.030645 1.551703 2.482551 4.226332 7.653942 15.885892
2026-05-24 0.676130 1.003273 1.524164 2.466874 4.262629 7.869263 16.796347
2026-05-31 0.649690 0.970532 1.486090 2.429837 4.254269 7.989346 17.488292
2026-06-07 0.616246 0.925099 1.424731 2.347015 4.149473 7.892445 17.606798
2026-06-14 0.601915 0.910502 1.414944 2.358382 4.234009 8.217619 18.897656